Re: Fw: The Growing Crisis in Egypt -

 

Egypt is more like Iran.  Mubarak is like the Shah a vicious dictator and like the Shah knows which side his bread is buttered on so he brown noses the US. The citizens of any country will take crap for so long and then all hell breaks lose i.e. the Berlin wall. Mubarak has to coddle the people or they will assassinate him like they did his predecessor. He may have had a part in that, I do not know. The United States has to stay light on their toes and be ready to go either direction.

 

The Egyptian brotherhood was involved with Sept 2001. Mubarak and those before him kept them in check as Saddam did as the president of Syria did, as King of Jordan did. The only way to control them is to kill them. If we are ready to do that we can win. If we are not Egypt and Jordan and Syria and Iraq will all go the way of Iran.

 

Our military will be of little use. Our weapons are too expensive to risk on a $200 handheld rocket. We are too big to fight so the solution has to be political and via third parties. If we put more military on the ground we will be sending them into a meat grinder and we have not seen casualties like we can expect since Antietam. If I were on their side the first thing I would do is exactly like Saddam did. Set the oil fields in Saudi Arabia, Iraq on fire. The U.S. military is already stretched too thin so they will not be able to respond effectively. As happened in Yehmen a few years ago, I would attack as many US ships in foreign ports as I had people. Then I would poison the water sources for a few major cities in the United States and maybe highjack a plane or two and land them in the middle of large cities. Then if he is alive, which I doubt, I would bring Osama into the picture as the head of the revolution in one of those Middle East countries. And the only demand I would make is for the US to get out of the Middle East completely. Should be a fun month. 

 

Thanks, John Jenkins
865-803-8179  cell
Gatlinburg, TN

Email: jrjenki@gmail.com
Website: http://www.greenbriersolutions.com 
Blog: http://littlepigeon.blogspot.com/

 

 

Some days you're the pigeon, some days you're the statue.

 

On Sat, Jan 29, 2011 at 6:54 PM, Ray & Martha <arandm@charter.net> wrote:

---------- Forwarded message ----------

SENTINEL INTELLIGENCE SERVICES, LLC
                   LYLE J. RAPACKI, Ph.D.
                             ____________
 
Saturday -
January the 29th, 2011
0845Hrs; m.s.t. (Arizona)                                                                 Lyle@SentinelIntelligenceServices.com
_____________________                                                                 _______________________
Email Briefing Bulletin:                                                                 FLASH TRAFFIC - - FLASH TRAFFIC
 
 
 
The information contained in this briefing is for your consideration insofar as how we in America may be affected by the growing crisis
in Egypt. 
 
FOR YOUR ANALYSIS:
1.  The riots in Egypt have continued the past 4-days, and are growing in both intensity and in numbers of outbreaks and participants.  As
of this date/time, 74-killed and two thousand injured.  Also 3-police officers have been killed. The police in Cairo have been recalled completely with the
Egyptian military now the lead
force attempting to bring order. The curfew has been completely ignored, with the numbers of rioters growing by the hour.  Over 18-million people live
in Cairo, Egypt.
2.  The rioters are "everyday" Egyptians; including Moms, Grandmothers, and those who would never have thought about acts of civil disobedience.
Egyptians are well-educated but literally hungry.  For 30-years, the Egyptian government has stolen from the people, and while the Egyptian government
became wealthy and accustomed to a very nice life-style, the people of Egypt, for the most part, have not been as fortunate.  Another example of the
disparity between the Elites and everyone else.  The emotional drama is still building.  Crowds take on their own personality, and what is taking place in
Cairo, Egypt is beginning to spread to outlining areas of the country, and is also intensifying.  The people are beginning to speak in one voice "Not until
Mubarak is removed!"  Shuffling the Egyptian cabinet may prove to be nothing more than political window dressing, and the people will not go along with
this type of sham.
3.  Lt. Gen Omar Suleiman, Director of Egypt's Intelligence System,  EGID, similar to America's CIA, has been appointed Vice President of Egypt.  This may
prove to be the first step in President Mubarak stepping down as President.  General Suleiman can be viewed as Gerald Ford was during the Nixon transition
closing down Watergate; a calming and transitional President.  Mubarak is still holding on, but his wife and son already have left the country landing in London, England.
4.  Banks throughout Egypt are closed; international businesses and corporations have closed; selected embassy's have removed their staffs; growing concern
over the security and calm at the Suez Canal, which, as you know, is a critical water passage way for oil distribution world-wide.  Oil already has risen $4-a 
Barrel to $90-barrel which means gas in America will go to $4-gal by next week.  Yesterday, Friday, oil jumped 4.3% the largest one-day jump since 9/09.
There is speculation a price jump could be as high as $10-a barrel.  This rise would have very serious implications for Americans and our economy.  Over 2-
million barrels of oil go to Europe daily through the Suez Canal.  Any disruption could have a severe immediate effect on Europe and its' continuing decaying
economy.
5.  Signs of a slow and steady villanization of America is underway.  The United States is seen by a growing number of Egyptians as being the main support to
Mubarak, helping him to remain in a dictatorial position the past 30-years.  Mubarak will not listen to the present administration in America.  He is most close to the
Clintons, but does not respect at all Obama.  So, our influence will be limited.
6.  The Muslim Brotherhood is increasing its presence and influence during this.  This will have a very negative result for America. 
 
 
LYLE J. RAPACKI, Ph.D.
Protective Intelligence and Assessment Specialist
Consultant at Behavioral Analysis and Threat Assessment
Private-Sector Intelligence Analyst

--
Joseph Whitson