War With Iran is Not Realistic

Iran is unconquerable making war against Iran an unrealistic option. The United States does not have enough soldiers to invade Iran, let alone occupy and hold it. And even if the United States could occupy Iran it could not defeat it. A war with Iran would destroy the economy of the United States.

 

The United States proved during the war of rebellion against Great Britain that a small, poorly trained, poorly armed, dedicated army fighting at home could defeat the best trained and best armed military. It happened again in Viet Nam, is happening now in Iraq and will happen in Iran.

The United States is too big, too well armed, to engage in wars with smaller countries.  Is a billion dollar weapon worth risking being destroyed by a $60,000 rocket?

 

The United States cannot sustain many losses. The citizens of the United States will not tolerate overwhelming numbers of casualties or even a constant stream of casualties.  While the United States could send its Marines to Iran, even move into Tehran, but what would it do with it? A car bomb here, a truck bomb there, a suicide bomber over there and the United States would be losing hundreds of soldiers a week, similar to Viet Nam. How would two or three airplane loads of bodies be received?

 

The United States could destroy Iran and never be able to defeat it.

 

The United States can be defeated in a war of attrition. In a full scale war Iran might lose ten millions soldiers where as the United States is not willing to lose one million soldiers. Constant casualties and the financial costs would be too much for the citizens of the United States to accept.

 

The United States thinks short term 6 months, 12 months, 60 months, Iran thinks in terms of 20 years, 30 years, and 50 years. Our military wants to serve and come home. Iran's soldiers expect to die. Without victory Iran's military has no reason to return home in fact they have no home to which to return.

 

One of the issues is the United States has no military leaders with imagination and vision. Much like in the Civil War where military leaders maintained the Napoleonic strategy in face of modern weapons, the generals had no alternative plans, no alternative thinking. Modern day Generals have no alternative thinking.

 

Iran may not be able to defeat the United States Navy but it does not have to do that. Remember October, 2000 when the USS Cole was crippled by a small boat with a bomb.  The Commander of the Cole had such limited vision he could not conceive of someone wanting to attack a vessel of the United States' Navy in a foreign port. He should have been thrown out of the Navy for incompetence for permitting anyone to get that close to the Cole.

 

Our Navy has recently discovered that small, fast, agile boats swarming the ships of the Navy could defeat the technically sophisticated weapons of the United States.

 

In January 2008, five small boats challenged a convoy of three ships of the United States Navy convoy in the Strait of Hormuz.  The boats went directly towards the ships confusing our military leaders. Imagine that: a number of small boats working in unison attacking a navy vessel, who would have thought? Five small boats moving at high speeds, from multiple directions, was a possibility our military planners had not considered, it had not occurred to them. The sheer numbers overloaded the ability, mentally and electronically. That these "new" tactics could seriously challenge the dominance of the United States Navy had not occurred to the Brain Trust of the United States military. The banding together of many small fighters to defeat a powerful, imminent threat is a tactic used by ants, hyenas, lions, wolves, wild dogs, but not to our leadership.

 

Regards,
John Jenkins

865-803-8179 cell

Gatlinburg, TN
Email: jrjenki@yahoo.com 

Website: http://www.greenbriersolutions.com 
Blog: http://littlepigeon.blogspot.com/

Fibonacci: It's as easy as 1,2,3.